[The Cunning Tower by Wilfrid: November 6, 2012]
Barack Obama will win today's Presidential election. Given the speed at which Ohio counts votes, it could still be a long night, but the outcome is in little doubt. Just because an election is close, doesn't mean it's unpredictable.
Despite the nation's travails, this shouldn't come as a surprise, although doubtless it will to some. A Presidential election is precisely not a referendum on the incumbent's performance; the mid-terms were, and the Democrats performed poorly. A Presidential election is a choice between alternatives.
And just look at the alternative. A Republican candidate rejected by his own party in 2008; accepted this turn around only because Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum were even more clearly unelectable; and who has presided over a woeful campaign, as bad as John Kerry's.